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Red79
68858.4
162236.8
498422.4
Blue73
491916.8
157232.5
126622.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66742040801001201407973

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.81.1
26.027.1
Auto9.6
Teleop19.5
End7.6
red by 4.3
1572
#27
32.50.3
32.132.4
Auto6.2
Teleop18.9
End7.4
Second
4984
#21
22.41.1
19.921.0
Auto7.6
Teleop8.7
End6.2
blue by 0.4
1266
#28
22.80.3
17.117.4
Auto5.9
Teleop10.2
End6.8
Third
6885
#43
8.41.8
16.618.5
Auto3.3
Teleop3.8
End1.3
blue by 8.5
4919
#50
16.80.5
19.019.6
Auto6.9
Teleop6.4
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
47%Activation oddsEarned74%Activation oddsMissed