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Red33
197217.3
298418.3
498422.4
Blue128
59943.8
374926.7
416031.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6285204010012014033128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4984
#21
22.42.6
21.018.4
Auto7.6
Teleop8.7
End6.2
blue by 21.4
599
#2
43.83.1
34.237.3
Auto11.5
Teleop25.5
End6.8
Second
2984
#44
18.34.3
21.116.9
Auto5.7
Teleop7.9
End4.7
blue by 13.5
4160
#16
31.83.1
21.024.1
Auto7.1
Teleop17.2
End7.6
Third
1972
#32
17.34.3
19.315.0
Auto4.3
Teleop10.0
End2.9
blue by 9.4
3749
#29
26.75.2
21.326.4
Auto7.5
Teleop12.0
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
59%Activation oddsMissed39%Activation oddsEarned