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Red111
59943.8
414127.1
853714.3
Blue96
887015.8
364747.8
157232.5
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions791025015011196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
599
#2
43.82.2
37.339.5
Auto11.5
Teleop25.5
End6.8
blue by 4.0
3647
#13
47.80.2
45.145.3
Auto12.7
Teleop27.9
End7.2
Second
4141
#18
27.12.2
24.727.0
Auto6.8
Teleop13.2
End7.0
blue by 5.4
1572
#27
32.50.2
32.132.3
Auto6.2
Teleop18.9
End7.4
Third
8537
#47
14.33.7
15.219.0
Auto5.6
Teleop5.5
End3.3
blue by 1.4
8870
#41
15.80.4
15.315.7
Auto3.6
Teleop7.4
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
17%Sustainability oddsMissed11%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
39%Activation oddsEarned61%Activation oddsMissed