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Red106
58920.3
416031.8
656043.8
Blue153
248545.4
473849.4
599323.6
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84114204060100140160180106153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6560
#17
43.81.6
37.939.5
Auto14.4
Teleop25.1
End4.1
blue by 5.6
49.42.6
44.046.7
Auto12.7
Teleop30.0
End6.7
Second
4160
#16
31.81.6
24.125.7
Auto7.1
Teleop17.2
End7.6
blue by 13.5
2485
#10
45.42.6
35.938.6
Auto13.1
Teleop23.6
End8.7
Third
589
#36
20.31.6
20.221.8
Auto7.2
Teleop4.5
End8.6
blue by 3.3
5993
#31
23.64.4
23.327.7
Auto6.3
Teleop13.3
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsEarned12%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
60%Activation oddsEarned73%Activation oddsEarned