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Red103
298418.3
157232.5
641729.5
Blue106
254325.2
699541.8
334121.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86810200300400500600103106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1572
#27
32.50.9
32.333.2
Auto6.2
Teleop18.9
End7.4
blue by 9.3
6995
#26
41.81.6
35.737.4
Auto10.3
Teleop26.3
End5.2
Second
6417
#11
29.51.5
27.929.3
Auto10.8
Teleop13.7
End5.0
red by 4.3
2543
#20
25.21.6
19.921.5
Auto10.6
Teleop10.8
End3.8
Third
2984
#44
18.31.5
19.521.0
Auto5.7
Teleop7.9
End4.7
blue by 3.2
3341
#39
21.62.7
20.723.5
Auto7.6
Teleop11.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsMissed10%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
47%Activation oddsEarned56%Activation oddsMissed