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Red143
364747.8
498422.4
641729.5
Blue75
210233.0
162236.8
81218.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions998905015020014375

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3647
#13
47.82.4
45.247.6
Auto12.7
Teleop27.9
End7.2
red by 11.0
36.80.6
33.532.8
Auto9.6
Teleop19.5
End7.6
Second
6417
#11
29.53.8
29.633.4
Auto10.8
Teleop13.7
End5.0
blue by 3.5
2102
#23
33.00.6
33.933.3
Auto9.9
Teleop16.0
End7.1
Third
4984
#21
22.42.4
16.819.3
Auto7.6
Teleop8.7
End6.2
red by 3.8
812
#48
18.70.6
17.316.7
Auto6.6
Teleop8.3
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
16%Sustainability oddsEarned13%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
49%Activation oddsEarned79%Activation oddsEarned