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Red113
811923.5
59943.8
81218.7
Blue120
699541.8
126622.8
502525.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions828960100120113120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
599
#2
43.82.0
40.942.8
Auto11.5
Teleop25.5
End6.8
red by 2.0
6995
#26
41.82.1
38.740.8
Auto10.3
Teleop26.3
End5.2
Second
8119
#40
23.52.9
20.623.5
Auto4.5
Teleop14.5
End4.4
blue by 1.9
5025
#15
25.42.1
23.725.8
Auto8.5
Teleop11.1
End5.8
Third
812
#48
18.72.0
16.718.7
Auto6.6
Teleop8.3
End3.8
blue by 4.2
1266
#28
22.82.1
20.722.8
Auto5.9
Teleop10.2
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
19%Sustainability oddsEarned9%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
39%Activation oddsMissed67%Activation oddsEarned