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Red112
254325.2
364747.8
669528.9
Blue70
265821.6
283940.4
282718.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80795060709010011012011270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3647
#13
47.82.5
39.341.8
Auto12.7
Teleop27.9
End7.2
red by 7.4
40.40.4
35.935.5
Auto11.1
Teleop21.8
End7.5
Second
6695
#12
28.92.8
23.025.8
Auto7.1
Teleop11.5
End10.2
red by 7.3
2658
#34
21.60.6
22.922.4
Auto5.9
Teleop10.0
End5.8
Third
2543
#20
25.22.8
12.014.8
Auto10.6
Teleop10.8
End3.8
red by 6.6
2827
#46
18.60.6
16.215.6
Auto4.7
Teleop8.8
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
54%Activation oddsEarned53%Activation oddsEarned