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Red131
135147.6
914322.3
11543.6
Blue141
97244.1
97154.3
801627.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12013450100150200131141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.60.5
47.848.2
Auto13.1
Teleop27.0
End7.5
blue by 6.7
971
#2
54.30.5
53.353.8
Auto18.1
Teleop28.4
End7.8
Second
115
#6
43.60.5
43.744.2
Auto12.3
Teleop22.1
End9.1
blue by 0.6
972
#17
44.10.4
43.343.7
Auto10.1
Teleop28.1
End5.9
Third
9143
#40
22.30.5
22.523.0
Auto4.0
Teleop13.2
End5.2
blue by 5.6
8016
#26
27.90.5
26.927.4
Auto6.1
Teleop17.6
End4.2