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Red101
550741.3
879327.6
875118.8
Blue59
592425.5
29914.5
490423.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86580204010012014016010159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.30.1
31.130.9
Auto12.7
Teleop21.5
End7.1
red by 15.8
5924
#20
25.50.2
23.323.5
Auto10.4
Teleop9.6
End5.4
Second
8793
#18
27.60.1
25.024.9
Auto8.3
Teleop13.1
End6.2
red by 4.5
4904
#39
23.20.2
16.516.7
Auto7.8
Teleop10.4
End5.0
Third
8751
#16
18.80.1
21.221.1
Auto6.1
Teleop5.9
End6.8
red by 4.4
299
#30
14.50.2
17.817.9
Auto1.9
Teleop7.5
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
54%Activation oddsEarned34%Activation oddsEarned