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Red65
641822.4
879327.6
466916.3
Blue44
875118.8
724518.2
29914.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions695802040801001206544

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8793
#18
27.61.5
24.923.4
Auto8.3
Teleop13.1
End6.2
red by 8.8
8751
#16
18.81.9
21.119.2
Auto6.1
Teleop5.9
End6.8
Second
6418
#24
22.41.5
22.821.3
Auto6.3
Teleop11.2
End4.8
red by 4.2
7245
#25
18.21.9
16.915.0
Auto5.0
Teleop6.4
End6.8
Third
4669
#29
16.31.5
15.614.1
Auto4.8
Teleop7.5
End4.1
red by 1.9
299
#30
14.51.9
17.916.1
Auto1.9
Teleop7.5
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
48%Activation oddsMissed55%Activation oddsMissed