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Qual 422023 San Francisco Regional
Red65
570021.9
903832.2
661919.9
Blue132
804516.5
60449.1
11543.6
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions759520406012014016018065132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9038
#14
32.20.8
24.4→23.6
Auto7.2
Teleop20.5
End4.5
blue by 16.9
604
#8
49.12.3
38.5→40.8
Auto11.6
Teleop29.3
End8.2
Second
5700
#27
21.90.8
23.5→22.7
Auto7.3
Teleop12.0
End2.7
blue by 21.6
115
#6
43.62.3
32.9→35.2
Auto12.3
Teleop22.1
End9.1
Third
6619
#34
19.90.8
24.6→23.8
Auto5.2
Teleop9.9
End4.8
red by 3.4
8045
#35
16.52.3
14.8→17.1
Auto3.9
Teleop9.0
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
41%Activation oddsMissed68%Activation oddsMissed