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Red49
724518.2
418619.0
592425.5
Blue106
60449.1
476515.5
490423.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions718320406010012014049106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5924
#20
25.52.3
26.023.7
Auto10.4
Teleop9.6
End5.4
blue by 23.6
604
#8
49.12.4
43.846.3
Auto11.6
Teleop29.3
End8.2
Second
4186
#23
19.02.3
20.418.1
Auto7.1
Teleop7.2
End4.7
blue by 4.1
4904
#39
23.22.6
18.721.3
Auto7.8
Teleop10.4
End5.0
Third
7245
#25
18.22.3
21.519.2
Auto5.0
Teleop6.4
End6.8
red by 2.8
4765
#31
15.52.4
13.515.9
Auto3.8
Teleop4.8
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsMissed14%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
58%Activation oddsEarned32%Activation oddsEarned