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Red102
196731.8
840438.2
801627.9
Blue127
912531.0
135147.6
550741.3
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91117406080100140160180200102127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8404
#13
38.20.8
33.934.8
Auto12.2
Teleop18.0
End7.9
blue by 9.4
47.61.5
42.043.4
Auto13.1
Teleop27.0
End7.5
Second
1967
#19
31.80.8
29.430.3
Auto11.3
Teleop12.1
End8.4
blue by 9.5
41.31.5
39.941.3
Auto12.7
Teleop21.5
End7.1
Third
8016
#26
27.90.8
25.025.9
Auto6.1
Teleop17.6
End4.2
blue by 3.0
9125
#32
31.01.5
24.826.3
Auto7.2
Teleop16.2
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
18%Sustainability oddsMissed31%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
62%Activation oddsEarned64%Activation oddsEarned