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Qual 92023 San Francisco Regional
Red45
196731.8
466916.3
911124.1
Blue60
415925.8
54308.9
476515.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63593040507080901004560

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1967
#19
31.81.5
24.8→23.3
Auto11.3
Teleop12.1
End8.4
red by 6.0
4159
#37
25.80.6
23.1→22.4
Auto5.8
Teleop16.3
End3.8
Second
9111
#38
24.11.5
18.8→17.3
Auto9.4
Teleop11.4
End3.3
red by 8.7
4765
#31
15.50.6
17.7→17.1
Auto3.8
Teleop4.8
End6.8
Third
4669
#29
16.31.5
15.1→13.5
Auto4.8
Teleop7.5
End4.1
red by 7.4
5430
#41
8.90.6
15.0→14.4
Auto4.4
Teleop2.1
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
48%Activation oddsMissed35%Activation oddsMissed