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Red129
879327.6
903832.2
64945.9
Blue130
58143.2
840438.2
84119.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11310350150200129130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
649
#9
45.90.2
45.645.9
Auto11.0
Teleop25.8
End9.0
red by 2.6
581
#5
43.20.9
42.243.1
Auto10.1
Teleop25.9
End7.2
Second
9038
#14
32.20.2
31.932.2
Auto7.2
Teleop20.5
End4.5
blue by 6.0
8404
#13
38.20.9
37.138.0
Auto12.2
Teleop18.0
End7.9
Third
8793
#18
27.60.2
27.427.6
Auto8.3
Teleop13.1
End6.2
red by 8.4
841
#21
19.30.9
18.219.1
Auto4.2
Teleop9.3
End5.8