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Red149
801627.9
97154.3
97244.1
Blue127
64945.9
903832.2
879327.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131106050150200149127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#2
54.30.8
52.152.9
Auto18.1
Teleop28.4
End7.8
red by 8.5
649
#9
45.90.7
45.045.6
Auto11.0
Teleop25.8
End9.0
Second
972
#17
44.10.6
42.342.9
Auto10.1
Teleop28.1
End5.9
red by 12.0
9038
#14
32.20.7
31.331.9
Auto7.2
Teleop20.5
End4.5
Third
8016
#26
27.90.8
25.726.5
Auto6.1
Teleop17.6
End4.2
red by 0.3
8793
#18
27.60.7
26.727.4
Auto8.3
Teleop13.1
End6.2