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Red102
641828.1
60458.7
912622.1
Blue162
425562.9
25478.4
550746.8
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83188050100150250102162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
#4
58.70.8
49.750.5
Auto14.3
Teleop33.5
End10.6
blue by 19.7
254
#1
78.40.1
72.071.9
Auto16.9
Teleop49.1
End11.0
Second
6418
#29
28.10.7
27.227.9
Auto8.7
Teleop15.1
End4.4
blue by 34.8
62.90.1
55.255.1
Auto18.1
Teleop36.1
End7.9
Third
9126
#49
22.11.2
14.515.7
Auto6.7
Teleop10.8
End4.7
blue by 24.7
46.80.1
43.743.6
Auto13.6
Teleop26.0
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
32%Sustainability oddsMissed98%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
42%Activation oddsEarned95%Activation oddsEarned