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Red140
885234.5
97255.6
76635.8
Blue117
401041.5
236718.2
366947.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12811650100150200140117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
972
#9
55.61.4
53.154.6
Auto13.5
Teleop35.3
End6.7
red by 8.3
3669
#37
47.31.0
47.846.8
Auto14.6
Teleop26.0
End6.8
Second
766
#28
35.81.4
32.333.7
Auto8.2
Teleop21.8
End5.8
blue by 5.7
4010
#40
41.51.0
41.740.7
Auto10.0
Teleop22.9
End8.4
Third
8852
#24
34.51.4
32.934.3
Auto11.5
Teleop16.5
End6.5
red by 16.3
2367
#59
18.21.0
20.819.8
Auto6.3
Teleop5.7
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
60%Sustainability oddsEarned40%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
81%Activation oddsEarned93%Activation oddsEarned