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Red157
884035.3
914334.5
84647.8
Blue122
25478.4
912622.1
766727.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10313050150200157122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
#18
47.82.6
44.547.1
Auto13.7
Teleop30.4
End3.5
blue by 30.6
254
#1
78.40.1
73.473.3
Auto16.9
Teleop49.1
End11.0
Second
8840
#17
35.32.6
27.129.8
Auto10.4
Teleop17.7
End7.1
red by 7.9
7667
#55
27.40.1
26.926.8
Auto8.5
Teleop13.9
End5.0
Third
9143
#13
34.52.6
28.731.4
Auto10.7
Teleop16.0
End7.9
red by 12.4
9126
#49
22.10.2
18.318.1
Auto6.7
Teleop10.8
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsEarned64%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
51%Activation oddsEarned81%Activation oddsMissed