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Red85
84647.8
641828.1
900621.6
Blue139
58161.0
75123.4
84125.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101106608012014016018020085139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
#18
47.80.7
47.146.4
Auto13.7
Teleop30.4
End3.5
blue by 13.2
581
#5
61.02.0
53.455.4
Auto13.5
Teleop39.2
End8.1
Second
6418
#29
28.10.7
28.127.4
Auto8.7
Teleop15.1
End4.4
red by 3.1
841
#30
25.12.0
23.425.4
Auto4.7
Teleop13.7
End6.6
Third
9006
#50
21.60.7
20.019.3
Auto4.5
Teleop11.4
End5.7
blue by 1.9
751
#16
23.42.0
21.823.9
Auto4.8
Teleop13.1
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
16%Sustainability oddsMissed68%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
57%Activation oddsMissed79%Activation oddsEarned