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Red111
60458.7
852119.0
264321.1
Blue119
688432.5
826224.0
135152.8
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90122050150200111119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
#4
58.71.2
53.654.8
Auto14.3
Teleop33.5
End10.6
red by 5.9
52.80.4
54.454.0
Auto13.0
Teleop31.9
End7.9
Second
2643
#48
21.11.2
20.121.2
Auto5.4
Teleop9.3
End6.5
blue by 11.4
6884
#21
32.50.4
30.229.8
Auto9.1
Teleop15.6
End7.8
Third
8521
#47
19.01.2
14.816.0
Auto4.5
Teleop9.6
End4.9
blue by 5.0
8262
#52
24.00.4
25.825.3
Auto5.6
Teleop13.1
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
34%Sustainability oddsEarned44%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
58%Activation oddsEarned82%Activation oddsMissed