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Red148
912622.1
203522.8
425562.9
Blue114
401041.5
10036.5
900621.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10299708090110120130140148114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.93.2
57.560.7
Auto18.1
Teleop36.1
End7.9
red by 21.4
4010
#40
41.51.4
40.341.7
Auto10.0
Teleop22.9
End8.4
Second
2035
#53
22.83.2
21.024.2
Auto6.8
Teleop10.6
End5.5
blue by 13.8
100
#31
36.51.4
33.635.0
Auto12.5
Teleop15.4
End7.7
Third
9126
#49
22.15.3
17.022.2
Auto6.7
Teleop10.8
End4.7
red by 0.5
9006
#50
21.61.4
19.320.7
Auto4.5
Teleop11.4
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
39%Sustainability oddsEarned13%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
54%Activation oddsEarned72%Activation oddsEarned