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Red71
25323.3
285432.6
770923.0
Blue109
900621.6
76635.8
639038.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions869905015020071109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2854
#44
32.61.5
32.430.8
Auto10.1
Teleop15.2
End7.0
blue by 6.3
6390
#32
38.90.5
36.636.2
Auto10.8
Teleop20.2
End7.8
Second
253
#39
23.31.5
26.224.6
Auto10.0
Teleop8.4
End4.9
blue by 12.4
766
#28
35.80.5
33.733.2
Auto8.2
Teleop21.8
End5.8
Third
7709
#46
23.02.6
23.621.1
Auto6.0
Teleop9.7
End7.4
red by 1.4
9006
#50
21.60.5
20.720.2
Auto4.5
Teleop11.4
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
18%Sustainability oddsMissed29%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
62%Activation oddsMissed54%Activation oddsMissed