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Red117
912622.1
58161.0
84027.6
Blue139
116036.8
499024.6
76635.8
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117916080100140160180200117139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
581
#5
61.00.4
58.859.2
Auto13.5
Teleop39.2
End8.1
red by 24.2
1160
#11
36.82.2
35.337.5
Auto10.0
Teleop18.7
End8.2
Second
840
#33
27.60.4
25.325.7
Auto8.2
Teleop13.5
End5.9
blue by 8.2
766
#28
35.82.2
33.235.5
Auto8.2
Teleop21.8
End5.8
Third
9126
#49
22.10.6
22.423.0
Auto6.7
Teleop10.8
End4.7
blue by 2.6
4990
#22
24.63.5
20.223.6
Auto6.4
Teleop14.2
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
77%Sustainability oddsMissed39%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
61%Activation oddsEarned46%Activation oddsEarned