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Red99
60458.7
25323.3
418618.9
Blue95
741929.1
885234.5
10036.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1008340601201401609995

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
#4
58.70.6
49.149.7
Auto14.3
Teleop33.5
End10.6
red by 22.2
100
#31
36.50.3
29.229.5
Auto12.5
Teleop15.4
End7.7
Second
253
#39
23.30.6
23.424.0
Auto10.0
Teleop8.4
End4.9
blue by 11.1
8852
#24
34.50.4
29.229.6
Auto11.5
Teleop16.5
End6.5
Third
4186
#58
18.90.6
19.019.6
Auto9.2
Teleop5.4
End4.4
blue by 10.2
7419
#27
29.10.3
21.822.1
Auto11.6
Teleop12.0
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
24%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
59%Activation oddsEarned93%Activation oddsMissed