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Red162
639038.9
64946.8
186857.1
Blue164
517141.3
60458.7
97255.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14516550100200250162164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1868
#10
57.10.5
56.657.1
Auto15.9
Teleop31.0
End9.9
blue by 1.7
604
#4
58.70.3
57.757.9
Auto14.3
Teleop33.5
End10.6
Second
649
#26
46.80.5
46.346.8
Auto13.2
Teleop26.3
End7.1
blue by 8.7
972
#9
55.60.3
54.554.7
Auto13.5
Teleop35.3
End6.7
Third
6390
#32
38.90.5
38.438.9
Auto10.8
Teleop20.2
End7.8
blue by 2.4
5171
#15
41.30.3
40.240.5
Auto11.8
Teleop19.6
End10.0