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Red207
25478.4
10036.5
167876.3
Blue131
401041.5
366947.3
247330.5
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20610950150250207131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#1
78.40.2
77.978.1
Auto16.9
Teleop49.1
End11.0
red by 31.1
3669
#37
47.30.4
45.646.0
Auto14.6
Teleop26.0
End6.8
Second
76.30.2
75.876.0
Auto18.0
Teleop46.9
End10.2
red by 34.8
4010
#40
41.50.4
39.940.2
Auto10.0
Teleop22.9
End8.4
Third
100
#31
36.50.2
36.036.2
Auto12.5
Teleop15.4
End7.7
red by 6.1
2473
#12
30.50.4
28.829.2
Auto10.2
Teleop14.5
End5.8