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Red182
25478.4
10036.5
167876.3
Blue117
545839.0
59952.2
75123.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20711050150250300182117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#1
78.40.0
78.178.1
Auto16.9
Teleop49.1
End11.0
red by 26.2
599
#14
52.20.1
52.552.4
Auto14.7
Teleop30.3
End7.1
Second
76.30.0
76.076.0
Auto18.0
Teleop46.9
End10.2
red by 37.4
39.00.1
39.339.2
Auto9.4
Teleop22.2
End7.5
Third
100
#31
36.50.0
36.236.2
Auto12.5
Teleop15.4
End7.7
red by 13.1
751
#16
23.40.1
23.723.6
Auto4.8
Teleop13.1
End5.6