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Red110
75123.4
59952.2
545839.0
Blue158
517141.3
60458.7
97255.6
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11617050100150200250110158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
599
#14
52.20.2
52.452.2
Auto14.7
Teleop30.3
End7.1
blue by 6.6
604
#4
58.70.1
57.857.7
Auto14.3
Teleop33.5
End10.6
Second
39.00.2
39.239.0
Auto9.4
Teleop22.2
End7.5
blue by 16.6
972
#9
55.60.1
54.654.5
Auto13.5
Teleop35.3
End6.7
Third
751
#16
23.40.2
23.623.4
Auto4.8
Teleop13.1
End5.6
blue by 17.9
5171
#15
41.30.1
40.340.2
Auto11.8
Teleop19.6
End10.0