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Qual 102023 SoCal Showdown
Red57
704227.9
432242.5
800616.0
Blue132
263745.9
69656.9
113844.5
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7413105010015020025057132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4322
#13
42.51.8
37.6→35.8
Auto7.7
Teleop32.4
End2.3
blue by 14.5
696
#4
56.90.0
54.7→54.7
Auto8.0
Teleop51.1
End-1.8
Second
7042
#17
27.91.8
27.7→25.9
Auto8.4
Teleop18.4
End1.3
blue by 18.0
2637
#6
45.90.0
37.8→37.8
Auto6.6
Teleop38.1
End1.2
Third
8006
#20
16.01.8
13.5→11.7
Auto2.0
Teleop12.9
End1.3
blue by 28.5
1138
#8
44.50.0
39.2→39.2
Auto7.9
Teleop34.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
17%Sustainability oddsMissed33%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
63%Activation oddsMissed72%Activation oddsEarned