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Qual 42023 SoCal Showdown
Red100
412337.9
347333.0
999520.1
Blue30
499913.7
59943.3
432242.5
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9812105015020010030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4123
#16
37.90.2
42.0→42.1
Auto10.1
Teleop25.9
End2.1
blue by 5.5
599
#19
43.35.4
48.5→43.1
Auto9.5
Teleop32.8
End0.8
Second
3473
#15
33.00.2
36.7→36.9
Auto5.9
Teleop26.9
End0.3
blue by 9.5
4322
#13
42.55.4
43.0→37.6
Auto7.7
Teleop32.4
End2.3
Third
9995
#22
20.10.3
18.4→18.7
Auto5.6
Teleop15.4
End-1.1
red by 6.4
4999
#32
13.76.6
19.1→12.6
Auto1.7
Teleop13.5
End-1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
20%Sustainability oddsMissed23%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
79%Activation oddsMissed65%Activation oddsMissed