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Qual 62023 SoCal Showdown
Red70
119724.1
271031.9
999622.6
Blue57
800616.0
690420.9
499913.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions645202040801007057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2710
#7
31.90.4
29.8→29.4
Auto5.3
Teleop25.0
End1.7
red by 11.0
6904
#27
20.91.8
22.6→20.8
Auto1.5
Teleop16.9
End2.6
Second
1197
#14
24.10.4
20.4→20.0
Auto3.5
Teleop20.0
End0.7
red by 8.1
8006
#20
16.01.5
15.0→13.5
Auto2.0
Teleop12.9
End1.3
Third
9996
#26Sur
22.60.6
15.6→15.0
Auto5.0
Teleop18.7
End-1.1
red by 8.8
4999
#32Sur
13.71.6
12.6→10.9
Auto1.7
Teleop13.5
End-1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
68%Activation oddsMissed39%Activation oddsMissed