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Qual 82023 SoCal Showdown
Red101
96840.8
68759.5
447029.4
Blue110
999710.1
59744.8
999834.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11073050100150200101110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
687
#3
59.50.7
55.1→54.4
Auto11.2
Teleop49.1
End-1.4
red by 14.7
597
#9
44.82.0
42.5→44.5
Auto8.7
Teleop33.2
End3.1
Second
968
#12
40.80.7
40.6→39.9
Auto5.7
Teleop33.4
End1.9
red by 6.5
9998
#5
34.33.3
22.6→26.0
Auto5.3
Teleop30.7
End-1.9
Third
4470
#18
29.40.8
16.1→15.3
Auto7.6
Teleop21.6
End0.5
red by 19.3
9997
#33
10.13.3
14.8→18.1
Auto0.8
Teleop10.4
End-1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
33%Sustainability oddsMissed19%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
70%Activation oddsEarned43%Activation oddsEarned