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Red104
59943.3
271031.9
499913.7
Blue138
258442.4
59744.8
508926.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71100020406080120140160104138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
599
#19
43.30.4
43.043.3
Auto9.5
Teleop32.8
End0.8
blue by 1.4
597
#9
44.80.2
45.045.2
Auto8.7
Teleop33.2
End3.1
Second
31.90.4
31.531.9
Auto5.3
Teleop25.0
End1.7
blue by 10.5
2584
#10
42.40.2
42.542.7
Auto8.1
Teleop34.2
End-0.2
Third
4999
#32
13.70.4
13.413.7
Auto1.7
Teleop13.5
End-1.2
blue by 13.1
5089
#21
26.90.2
27.127.3
Auto7.0
Teleop19.7
End0.4