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Red137
59944.2
441467.6
Blue66
432242.3
1148B17.3
710223.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions947005015020013766

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4414
#13
67.61.6
66.267.8
Auto13.1
Teleop54.5
End-0.5
red by 25.3
42.31.4
39.638.2
Auto7.8
Teleop33.8
End0.8
Second
599
#16
44.21.6
40.442.0
Auto9.8
Teleop33.8
End0.2
red by 21.0
7102
#41
23.21.4
26.925.5
Auto5.9
Teleop17.6
End-0.3
Third
9.52.7
6.49.0
Auto1.3
Teleop9.9
End-1.6
blue by 7.8
17.32.3
20.217.9
Auto3.6
Teleop12.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
59%Sustainability oddsEarned10%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
52%Activation oddsEarned64%Activation oddsMissed