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Red115
312841.6
441551.7
58930.2
Blue85
710223.2
741529.4
407924.1
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10746015020011585

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.70.7
50.351.0
Auto11.4
Teleop37.2
End2.5
red by 22.3
7415
#12
29.41.2
22.323.4
Auto4.8
Teleop23.0
End1.7
Second
3128
#15
41.60.7
32.433.1
Auto6.8
Teleop36.0
End-1.0
red by 17.4
4079
#23
24.11.2
21.022.2
Auto3.5
Teleop18.0
End2.7
Third
589
#28
30.20.7
21.622.3
Auto5.6
Teleop21.9
End3.1
red by 7.1
7102
#41
23.21.2
24.325.5
Auto5.9
Teleop17.6
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
23%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
67%Activation oddsEarned65%Activation oddsEarned