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Qual 252023 Tidal Tumble
Red48
392515.4
512423.5
800616.6
Blue21
588718.2
8006B9.5
928212.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64130501001502004821

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5124
#31
23.50.9
24.9→24.0
Auto4.8
Teleop16.8
End1.9
red by 5.3
5887
#20
18.20.7
15.9→15.2
Auto2.9
Teleop16.0
End-0.4
Second
8006
#24
16.60.9
15.8→14.9
Auto1.6
Teleop14.9
End0.3
red by 4.5
9282
#39
12.20.7
9.1→8.4
Auto3.5
Teleop9.3
End-0.5
Third
3925
#30
15.40.9
20.9→20.0
Auto1.4
Teleop14.4
End-0.2
red by 5.8
8006B
#34
9.51.1
6.3→5.1
Auto1.3
Teleop9.9
End-1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
24%Activation oddsMissed13%Activation oddsMissed