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Qual 392023 Tidal Tumble
Red93
113848.7
119724.8
6647B10.3
Blue111
265959.4
1148B17.3
512423.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4685015020025030035093111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1138
#14
48.71.2
48.3→49.5
Auto7.1
Teleop41.9
End-0.3
blue by 10.7
2659
#3
59.41.4
53.5→55.0
Auto9.6
Teleop48.5
End-0.3
Second
1197
#38
24.81.2
21.8→23.0
Auto4.9
Teleop21.1
End-1.2
red by 1.3
5124
#31
23.51.4
22.4→23.9
Auto4.8
Teleop16.8
End1.9
Third
6647B
#40
10.32.1
4.4→6.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.6
End-1.1
blue by 7.0
1148B
#42
17.32.4
13.5→15.9
Auto3.6
Teleop12.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsMissed33%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
28%Activation oddsMissed40%Activation oddsEarned