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Qual 42023 Tidal Tumble
Red126
351252.2
119724.8
715763.5
Blue106
35967.6
392515.4
58930.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12594050150200126106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7157
#2
63.51.9
56.1→54.2
Auto10.2
Teleop52.4
End-0.5
blue by 4.2
359
#4
67.60.1
63.4→63.6
Auto11.6
Teleop55.2
End-0.8
Second
3512
#8
52.21.9
51.2→49.3
Auto9.6
Teleop38.8
End4.0
red by 22.0
589
#28DQ
30.20.1
20.3→20.4
Auto5.6
Teleop21.9
End3.1
Third
1197
#38
24.81.9
24.1→22.2
Auto4.9
Teleop21.1
End-1.2
red by 9.4
3925
#30
15.40.1
20.1→20.3
Auto1.4
Teleop14.4
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
65%Sustainability oddsMissed42%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
90%Activation oddsMissed89%Activation oddsEarned