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Red118
69642.5
386327.7
664723.7
Blue130
432242.3
97367.9
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65105050150200118130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
696
#25
42.51.0
41.042.0
Auto6.2
Teleop38.9
End-2.4
blue by 25.4
973
#5
67.90.4
65.065.3
Auto14.7
Teleop49.0
End3.5
Second
3863
#35
27.71.0
26.727.7
Auto4.1
Teleop20.5
End3.0
blue by 14.5
42.30.4
39.740.0
Auto7.8
Teleop33.8
End0.8
Third
6647
#29
23.71.0
20.221.2
Auto2.7
Teleop21.7
End-0.5
red by 14.2
9.50.6
9.810.4
Auto1.3
Teleop9.9
End-1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
19%Sustainability oddsMissed74%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
38%Activation oddsEarned76%Activation oddsEarned