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Red90
97367.9
928212.2
800616.6
Blue99
427633.6
351252.2
210224.6
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions691050501502009099

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#5
67.90.3
65.365.7
Auto14.7
Teleop49.0
End3.5
red by 15.7
52.20.7
51.050.3
Auto9.6
Teleop38.8
End4.0
Second
8006
#24
16.60.3
13.013.3
Auto1.6
Teleop14.9
End0.3
blue by 17.0
4276
#18
33.60.7
32.431.7
Auto9.4
Teleop21.8
End2.5
Third
9282
#39
12.20.3
7.17.4
Auto3.5
Teleop9.3
End-0.5
blue by 12.5
2102
#19
24.60.7
26.325.5
Auto2.6
Teleop22.8
End-0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
42%Sustainability oddsMissed23%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
41%Activation oddsMissed76%Activation oddsEarned