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Qual 472023 Tidal Tumble
Red115
432242.3
265959.4
4B15.8
Blue112
58930.2
3647B32.8
3128B37.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89550100150115112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2659
#3
59.40.3
55.0→55.3
Auto9.6
Teleop48.5
End-0.3
red by 21.8
3128B
#17
37.63.7
26.7→30.4
Auto7.9
Teleop31.4
End-1.8
Second
4322
#6
42.30.3
40.0→40.4
Auto7.8
Teleop33.8
End0.8
red by 9.5
3647B
#21
32.83.7
27.0→30.6
Auto5.3
Teleop28.9
End-1.4
Third
4B
#10
15.80.6
14.9→15.5
Auto1.1
Teleop15.4
End-0.4
blue by 14.4
589
#28
30.22.2
25.4→27.6
Auto5.6
Teleop21.9
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
52%Sustainability oddsEarned27%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
78%Activation oddsMissed51%Activation oddsMissed