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Red99
114836.7
427633.6
512423.5
Blue148
432242.3
35967.6
407924.1
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8110705015099148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1148
#27
36.70.6
35.736.3
Auto6.6
Teleop26.2
End4.1
blue by 31.0
359
#4
67.61.3
67.168.4
Auto11.6
Teleop55.2
End-0.8
Second
4276
#18
33.60.6
31.732.3
Auto9.4
Teleop21.8
End2.5
blue by 8.6
42.31.3
40.441.6
Auto7.8
Teleop33.8
End0.8
Third
5124
#31
23.50.6
22.523.1
Auto4.8
Teleop16.8
End1.9
blue by 0.7
4079
#23
24.11.3
21.422.7
Auto3.5
Teleop18.0
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
13%Sustainability oddsMissed53%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
63%Activation oddsEarned93%Activation oddsEarned