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Red96
69642.5
210224.6
407924.1
Blue91
386327.7
512423.5
58930.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions637301002003004009691

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
696
#25
42.50.2
40.741.0
Auto6.2
Teleop38.9
End-2.4
red by 12.3
589
#28
30.20.4
29.730.1
Auto5.6
Teleop21.9
End3.1
Second
2102
#19
24.60.2
24.424.6
Auto2.6
Teleop22.8
End-0.6
blue by 3.1
3863
#35
27.70.4
27.327.7
Auto4.1
Teleop20.5
End3.0
Third
4079
#23
24.10.2
22.722.9
Auto3.5
Teleop18.0
End2.7
red by 0.7
5124
#31
23.50.4
23.123.5
Auto4.8
Teleop16.8
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsMissed15%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
70%Activation oddsEarned59%Activation oddsEarned