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Red160
715763.5
3128B37.6
59944.2
Blue120
351252.2
664723.7
113848.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1149950150200160120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.51.3
61.662.9
Auto10.2
Teleop52.4
End-0.5
red by 11.3
52.20.1
51.751.6
Auto9.6
Teleop38.8
End4.0
Second
599
#16
44.21.3
41.442.7
Auto9.8
Teleop33.8
End0.2
blue by 4.5
1138
#14
48.70.1
46.646.5
Auto7.1
Teleop41.9
End-0.3
Third
37.61.9
34.836.8
Auto7.9
Teleop31.4
End-1.8
red by 14.0
6647
#29
23.70.1
23.323.2
Auto2.7
Teleop21.7
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
85%Sustainability oddsEarned57%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
49%Activation oddsEarned80%Activation oddsEarned