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Red100
119724.8
114836.7
407924.1
Blue106
710223.2
928212.2
3512B32.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69380206080100120140100106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1148
#27
36.71.2
35.536.7
Auto6.6
Teleop26.2
End4.1
red by 3.9
32.84.2
29.733.9
Auto7.1
Teleop24.8
End1.0
Second
1197
#38
24.81.2
23.624.8
Auto4.9
Teleop21.1
End-1.2
red by 1.6
7102
#41
23.23.2
20.023.2
Auto5.9
Teleop17.6
End-0.3
Third
4079
#23
24.11.2
22.924.1
Auto3.5
Teleop18.0
End2.7
red by 12.0
9282
#39
12.23.2
9.012.2
Auto3.5
Teleop9.3
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
78%Activation oddsEarned31%Activation oddsEarned