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Red134
4B15.8
696B29.1
97367.9
Blue79
407924.1
392515.4
113848.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102795015020013479

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#5
67.90.3
65.966.2
Auto14.7
Teleop49.0
End3.5
red by 19.2
1138
#14
48.70.4
45.044.6
Auto7.1
Teleop41.9
End-0.3
Second
696B
#32
29.10.4
28.428.8
Auto5.0
Teleop26.2
End-1.9
red by 5.0
4079
#23
24.10.4
19.919.5
Auto3.5
Teleop18.0
End2.7
Third
4B
#10
15.81.6
15.814.2
Auto1.1
Teleop15.4
End-0.4
red by 0.4
3925
#30
15.40.4
20.319.8
Auto1.4
Teleop14.4
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
64%Sustainability oddsEarned6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
53%Activation oddsEarned36%Activation oddsEarned