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Red149
69642.5
601725.8
97367.9
Blue130
432242.3
312841.6
441551.7
45%Model gave it55%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109118050150200250149130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#5
67.90.4
66.366.7
Auto14.7
Teleop49.0
End3.5
red by 16.2
51.70.1
51.951.8
Auto11.4
Teleop37.2
End2.5
Second
696
#25
42.50.4
41.041.3
Auto6.2
Teleop38.9
End-2.4
red by 0.2
42.30.1
42.542.4
Auto7.8
Teleop33.8
End0.8
Third
6017
#26
25.80.4
25.125.4
Auto3.6
Teleop22.1
End0.2
blue by 15.7
3128
#15
41.60.1
41.841.7
Auto6.8
Teleop36.0
End-1.0