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Red172
364750.3
265959.4
59944.2
Blue144
908450.2
4414B53.5
113848.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12111780100140160172144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.40.5
58.058.5
Auto9.6
Teleop48.5
End-0.3
red by 5.9
53.50.0
50.550.5
Auto6.4
Teleop49.1
End-2.1
Second
3647
#11
50.30.5
48.949.4
Auto13.1
Teleop37.7
End-1.1
red by 0.2
9084
#22
50.20.0
47.947.9
Auto10.8
Teleop35.9
End3.4
Third
599
#16
44.20.5
42.743.2
Auto9.8
Teleop33.8
End0.2
blue by 4.5
1138
#14
48.70.0
46.546.4
Auto7.1
Teleop41.9
End-0.3